The prognostic value of on-arrival arterial blood gas parameters in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: pH versus pCO₂ for predicting ROSC

Authors

  • Ayesha Saeed Pakistan Ordinance Factory Hospital, Wah Cantt, Rawalpindi, Pakistan/ HITEC-IMS Taxila Rawalpindi Pakistan
  • Syeda Javeria Ahsan Pakistan Ordinance Factory Hospital Wah Cantt, Rawalpindi Pakistan/ Hull University Teaching Hospital, NHS Trust, UK
  • Sana Shafique Pakistan Ordinance Factory Hospital Wah Cantt, Rawalpindi Pakistan
  • Turab Fatima Abidi Pakistan Ordinance Factory Hospital Wah Cantt, Rawalpindi Pakistan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55629/pakjpathol.v37i2.979

Abstract

Objective: Predicting ROSC in OHCA patients undergoing CPR, through on-arrival blood gas components, can help guide intensive clinical decision-making in already overburdened and understaffed emergency departments of low and middle-income countries like Pakistan.

Material and Methods: This prospective observational study was conducted at an urban teaching hospital facility for a period of 3 years and included 156 consecutively selected non-trauma OHCA patients undergoing CPR. Blood gas analysis was done on arrival at the emergency department. Baseline values, arterial pH, and pCO₂ levels were compared between the two groups (ROSC-achieved vs ROSC-not-achieved). Multiple logistic regression analysis identified independent ROSC predictors, and the ROC study compared the discriminative capacity of pH and pCO₂.

Results: The ROSC-achieved group exhibited significantly higher arterial pH than the other group (mean difference = 0.12, 95% CI: 0.06-0.18, p < 0.001). No significant difference in mean pCO₂ was found between the groups (p = 0.29). In the multiple logistic regression analysis, greater pH independently predicted ROSC (OR = 71.07, 95% CI: 4.11–1227.04; p = 0.003) while pCO₂ was not independently associated (OR = 1.02, 95% CI: 0.98-1.04, p = 0.29). The ROC analysis showed that pH has a higher discriminative capacity (AUC = 0.68) than pCO₂ (AUC =0.44).

Conclusion: The study found that arterial pH in the on-arrival blood gas sample can independently predict ROSC in OHCA patients undergoing CPR. Keywords: ABGs (arterial blood gases), OHCA (out-of-hospital cardiac arrest), pCO2(Partial pressure of carbon dioxide), ROSC (return of spontaneous circulation)

Keywords: OHCA, CPR, Blood gas analysis, ROSC

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Published

30-12-2025

How to Cite

1.
Saeed A, Ahsan SJ, Shafique S, Abidi TF. The prognostic value of on-arrival arterial blood gas parameters in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: pH versus pCO₂ for predicting ROSC. Pak J Pathol [Internet]. 2025 Dec. 30 [cited 2026 Oct. 28];36(4):330-7. Available from: https://pakjpath.com/index.php/Pak-J-Pathol/article/view/979